Cottrell and Zamora proved Carolina Bays are mathematical ellipses within 3% error, contradicting wind and water formation which would yield variable shapes. OSL dating only reaches ~300,000 years. The 2007 Firestone paper originally included them, but the Comet Research Group later demoted them. Clovis artifacts in bay rims support older ages. 📏
Ellipse quantification paper challenges wind/water hypothesis for Carolina Bays

Key facts
- Cottrell and Zamora co-authored a paper proving Carolina Bays are mathematical ellipses with accuracy within 3% error using least squares analysis of points along the interior rim
- The uniform elliptical shape across thousands of bays is inconsistent with wind and water formation, which would produce variable shapes
- OSL (optically stimulated luminescence) dating on Carolina Bays only extends back approximately 300,000 years, leaving dates near 786,000 years in a gray area
- The 2007 Firestone paper included Carolina Bays as evidence, but they were later demoted by the Comet Research Group
- Chris Moore of the Comet Research Group supports the Aeolian/Lacustrine (wind and water) hypothesis for Carolina Bay formation
- Malcolm LeCompte of the Comet Research Group actively opposes including Carolina Bays in the Younger Dryas impact narrative
- Clovis-era artifacts and waterfowl gizzard stones found in Carolina Bay rims indicate the bays existed during the Clovis period, supporting an age older than the Younger Dryas
- Chris Moore conducted early archaeological work and dating in Carolina Bays
Sources
Partially Formed Carolina Bays: Morphological Evidence of ...papers.ssrn.com
In this paper, it's assumed that an ideally formed Carolina Bay has a mathematically elliptical rim throughout the entirety of its circumference. Although ...
Antonio ZAMORA | Research profileresearchgate.net
Christopher Cottrell ... This paper describes the use of a Python program to fit ellipses to the Carolina Bays using a least squares method.
(PDF) Interpreting the Geomorphology of Carolina Bays as ...researchgate.net
This study examines the Carolina Bays and Nebraska Rainwater Basins, using high-resolution LiDAR elevation models to analyze their unique ...
Morphological signatures of shock wave propagation in ...sciencedirect.com
by AK Carlisle · 2026 — By assuming the rim of an ideally formed Carolina Bay is entirely elliptical, it was shown that non-ideally formed bays display three morphologies that are each ...
Interpreting the Geomorphology of Carolina Bays as ...journals.bilpubgroup.com
This study examines the Carolina Bays and Nebraska Rainwater Basins, using high-resolution LiDAR elevation models to analyze their unique shapes.
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